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Red290
550761.7
290576.0
203567.9
Blue195
476565.3
570064.3
671829.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1961340100300400290195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2905
#18
76.09.7
65.174.8
Auto10.7
Teleop23.8
End41.5
red by 10.7
4765
#19
65.36.6
49.355.8
Auto5.9
Teleop29.7
End29.7
Second
2035
#12
67.99.7
60.370.0
Auto9.3
Teleop37.2
End21.4
red by 3.6
5700
#27
64.36.6
59.466.0
Auto7.3
Teleop32.2
End24.9
Third
5507
#15
61.79.7
52.261.9
Auto12.5
Teleop22.5
End26.7
red by 32.5
6718
#41
29.26.6
27.333.9
Auto3.8
Teleop20.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed