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Red219
254138.2
418659.6
592455.9
Blue165
502671.8
76647.9
285462.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2691000200300400219165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
138.21.5
125.8124.3
Auto18.9
Teleop64.0
End55.2
red by 66.4
5026
#16
71.84.1
45.349.4
Auto11.6
Teleop45.9
End14.3
Second
4186
#35
59.61.5
48.847.3
Auto8.3
Teleop21.9
End29.4
blue by 2.6
2854
#34
62.24.1
35.639.7
Auto10.1
Teleop37.3
End14.8
Third
5924
#37
55.91.5
57.956.4
Auto0.7
Teleop35.7
End19.5
red by 8.0
766
#36
47.94.1
37.441.4
Auto8.9
Teleop30.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed