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Red165
466953.7
84138.6
60496.6
Blue105
427047.9
671829.2
418659.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207139050100250300350400165105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
96.62.5
86.584.0
Auto14.5
Teleop45.9
End36.3
red by 37.0
4186
#35
59.64.1
51.647.5
Auto8.3
Teleop21.9
End29.4
Second
4669
#24
53.72.5
57.154.6
Auto8.1
Teleop33.1
End12.5
red by 5.8
4270
#29
47.94.1
58.754.6
Auto3.5
Teleop26.1
End18.4
Third
841
#33
38.62.5
43.941.4
Auto3.0
Teleop25.4
End10.3
red by 9.4
6718
#41
29.24.1
31.427.3
Auto3.8
Teleop20.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed