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Red283
145871.8
415975.2
254138.2
Blue228
971116.5
550761.7
666277.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295269100200400500283228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
138.20.6
137.2137.8
Auto18.9
Teleop64.0
End55.2
red by 21.7
971
#2
116.53.0
115.2112.2
Auto22.6
Teleop50.3
End43.6
Second
4159
#21
75.20.6
73.874.4
Auto6.2
Teleop34.3
End34.8
blue by 2.4
77.63.2
83.580.3
Auto6.9
Teleop26.2
End44.5
Third
71.80.6
65.966.5
Auto6.0
Teleop24.4
End41.5
red by 10.2
5507
#15
61.73.0
60.357.3
Auto12.5
Teleop22.5
End26.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed