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Red255
145871.8
60496.6
348255.0
Blue205
203567.9
285462.2
603683.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220218160180200240260280300255205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
96.64.6
89.894.4
Auto14.5
Teleop45.9
End36.3
red by 13.3
6036
#10
83.30.3
83.483.1
Auto4.8
Teleop36.6
End41.9
Second
71.84.3
66.570.8
Auto6.0
Teleop24.4
End41.5
red by 3.9
2035
#12
67.90.3
66.366.0
Auto9.3
Teleop37.2
End21.4
Third
3482
#23
55.04.3
50.755.0
Auto5.6
Teleop23.4
End26.1
blue by 7.2
2854
#34
62.20.3
59.258.8
Auto10.1
Teleop37.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed