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Red522
499084.4
254167.3
604117.8
Blue285
898.3
2473105.1
567772.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415273100200500600522285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
167.30.7
166.6167.3
Auto32.1
Teleop70.3
End64.9
red by 62.1
105.10.2
104.9105.1
Auto12.2
Teleop49.3
End43.6
Second
604
#3
117.80.7
117.1117.8
Auto15.4
Teleop60.1
End42.3
red by 19.5
8
#19
98.30.2
98.198.3
Auto9.5
Teleop54.4
End34.4
Third
4990
#20
84.40.7
83.884.4
Auto11.7
Teleop32.7
End40.0
red by 11.6
5677
#11
72.90.2
72.772.9
Auto4.3
Teleop29.7
End38.9