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Red290
236764.8
668103.7
846101.0
Blue140
605935.2
19986.9
281354.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2361800100300400500290140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#17
103.74.5
85.790.3
Auto11.3
Teleop42.2
End50.2
red by 16.8
199
#57
86.92.9
96.994.1
Auto9.7
Teleop31.2
End46.0
Second
846
#44
101.04.5
90.595.1
Auto12.7
Teleop42.5
End45.8
red by 46.5
2813
#39
54.52.9
36.433.5
Auto8.2
Teleop29.5
End16.8
Third
2367
#31
64.85.0
40.745.8
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End31.4
red by 29.5
6059
#42
35.22.9
45.342.4
Auto2.8
Teleop28.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed