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Red250
19986.9
567772.9
128062.2
Blue195
517159.3
196782.6
75199.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215237100300400250195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199
#57
86.92.5
93.295.7
Auto9.7
Teleop31.2
End46.0
blue by 13.0
751
#18
99.91.8
88.887.0
Auto9.7
Teleop51.0
End39.2
Second
5677
#11
72.92.5
68.671.1
Auto4.3
Teleop29.7
End38.9
blue by 9.7
1967
#34
82.61.8
85.083.2
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End51.6
Third
1280
#38
62.22.5
45.247.7
Auto8.2
Teleop30.3
End23.7
red by 2.9
5171
#50
59.33.0
48.245.2
Auto2.8
Teleop28.6
End27.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed