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Red275
58183.5
592474.5
641876.3
Blue305
236764.8
186891.5
97266.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2271960100300400500275305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#25
83.54.2
80.084.2
Auto7.7
Teleop41.5
End34.2
blue by 8.0
1868
#26
91.57.7
81.088.7
Auto12.9
Teleop34.7
End43.9
Second
76.34.2
68.973.1
Auto8.0
Teleop38.5
End29.8
red by 10.0
972
#30
66.37.7
56.063.7
Auto8.5
Teleop35.8
End22.0
Third
5924
#10
74.54.2
63.067.2
Auto5.6
Teleop46.8
End22.1
red by 9.7
2367
#31
64.87.7
53.160.8
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End31.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed