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Red345
58183.5
75199.9
11597.5
Blue355
85284.9
592474.5
11482.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092270100400500600700345355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
751
#18
99.90.8
102.1102.9
Auto9.7
Teleop51.0
End39.2
red by 15.0
852
#15
84.95.2
79.784.9
Auto10.0
Teleop34.9
End40.0
Second
115
#24
97.50.8
97.998.7
Auto11.2
Teleop46.8
End39.5
red by 15.5
114
#7
82.05.2
79.885.0
Auto9.2
Teleop45.2
End27.6
Third
581
#25
83.50.8
82.683.5
Auto7.7
Teleop41.5
End34.2
red by 9.0
5924
#10
74.55.2
67.572.7
Auto5.6
Teleop46.8
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed