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Red285
513662.2
351296.7
581888.5
Blue260
11467.7
257690.3
392581.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2712440100200400500600700285260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.70.0
98.698.7
Auto12.5
Teleop44.7
End39.5
red by 6.4
90.30.4
88.989.4
Auto6.4
Teleop42.0
End41.9
Second
5818
#19
88.50.0
90.290.3
Auto10.2
Teleop40.7
End37.6
red by 7.1
3925
#12
81.50.5
79.980.4
Auto7.6
Teleop38.6
End35.2
Third
5136
#23
62.20.0
64.364.4
Auto5.0
Teleop32.5
End24.7
blue by 5.5
114
#33
67.70.5
66.166.6
Auto4.5
Teleop36.3
End26.9