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Red170
513662.2
351296.7
581888.5
Blue235
11467.7
257690.3
392581.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2732500100200400500600700800170235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.72.7
99.496.7
Auto12.5
Teleop44.7
End39.5
red by 6.4
90.30.1
90.490.3
Auto6.4
Teleop42.0
End41.9
Second
5818
#19
88.52.5
91.088.5
Auto10.2
Teleop40.7
End37.6
red by 7.1
3925
#12
81.50.1
81.681.5
Auto7.6
Teleop38.6
End35.2
Third
5136
#23
62.23.0
65.262.2
Auto5.0
Teleop32.5
End24.7
blue by 5.5
114
#33
67.70.1
67.867.7
Auto4.5
Teleop36.3
End26.9