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Quarterfinal 2-12017 Ventura Regional
Red305
196776.5
656084.9
375993.4
Blue285
655357.2
471185.9
496469.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2762060100400500305285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#5
93.41.3
92.6→93.9
Auto9.4
Teleop33.0
End51.0
red by 7.5
4711
#6
85.91.2
83.5→84.8
Auto9.0
Teleop34.2
End42.7
Second
6560
#4
84.91.3
84.1→85.4
Auto8.0
Teleop39.0
End37.9
red by 15.6
4964
#13
69.21.4
66.6→68.0
Auto10.6
Teleop34.1
End24.6
Third
1967
#22
76.51.4
75.7→77.1
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End53.8
red by 19.3
6553
#32
57.21.2
54.8→56.1
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End20.4