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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Ventura Regional
Red305
162275.6
59979.3
5802104.4
Blue195
491355.7
70280.1
98167.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274210100300400500305195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#11
104.41.5
101.6→103.0
Auto14.4
Teleop47.9
End42.1
red by 24.3
702
#8
80.10.3
81.4→81.1
Auto8.9
Teleop37.0
End34.2
Second
599
#2
79.31.5
76.5→77.9
Auto7.6
Teleop31.4
End40.3
red by 11.5
981
#14
67.70.4
69.4→69.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.7
End32.7
Third
1622
#37
75.61.2
73.3→74.5
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End39.8
red by 19.9
4913
#9
55.70.3
57.1→56.8
Auto7.0
Teleop22.9
End25.8