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Red255
59979.3
351296.7
491355.7
Blue145
547760.1
58038.7
586962.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167144050100200250300350400255145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.711.0
66.978.0
Auto12.5
Teleop44.7
End39.5
red by 34.3
5869
#18
62.40.6
56.156.7
Auto1.4
Teleop37.8
End23.2
Second
599
#2
79.311.0
48.559.5
Auto7.6
Teleop31.4
End40.3
red by 19.1
5477
#31
60.10.4
43.744.2
Auto6.5
Teleop23.9
End29.7
Third
55.711.0
40.451.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.9
End25.8
red by 17.0
580
#40
38.70.6
40.240.7
Auto4.8
Teleop23.6
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed