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Qual 202017 Ventura Regional
Red255
567862.1
351296.7
513777.0
Blue115
399329.4
396555.0
166155.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121300100300400255115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#1
96.76.6
78.0→84.6
Auto12.5
Teleop44.7
End39.5
red by 41.7
3965
#27
55.04.9
47.2→42.2
Auto6.3
Teleop36.8
End11.9
Second
5137
#3
77.05.3
60.9→66.2
Auto12.1
Teleop35.4
End29.4
red by 22.0
1661
#21
55.04.9
49.8→44.9
Auto8.0
Teleop42.4
End4.6
Third
5678
#26
62.16.6
51.7→58.3
Auto9.7
Teleop37.2
End15.2
red by 32.7
3993
#41
29.44.9
37.6→32.6
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End-6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed