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Red125
385159.4
388268.2
196776.5
Blue145
58954.4
585749.3
59979.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139169050100200250300350400125145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#22
76.54.0
35.030.9
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End53.8
blue by 2.7
599
#2
79.31.3
56.955.6
Auto7.6
Teleop31.4
End40.3
Second
3882
#17
68.24.0
64.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop25.6
End37.6
red by 13.8
589
#30
54.41.3
56.755.4
Auto6.6
Teleop31.8
End16.1
Third
3851
#25
59.44.0
37.233.1
Auto5.1
Teleop26.9
End27.5
red by 10.2
5857
#34
49.31.3
43.141.8
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed