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Red111
399329.4
244351.6
58038.7
Blue170
585749.3
392581.5
491355.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111140050200250300111170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#28
51.60.2
48.248.3
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End12.7
blue by 29.9
3925
#12
81.51.8
48.350.1
Auto7.6
Teleop38.6
End35.2
Second
580
#40
38.70.2
33.433.5
Auto4.8
Teleop23.6
End10.4
blue by 17.0
55.71.8
38.440.1
Auto7.0
Teleop22.9
End25.8
Third
3993
#41
29.40.2
28.028.2
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End-6.3
blue by 19.9
5857
#34
49.31.8
42.444.2
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed