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Red200
302164.0
59979.3
655357.2
Blue96
248947.8
244351.6
11467.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182166010030040050020096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#2
79.32.5
69.471.9
Auto7.6
Teleop31.4
End40.3
red by 11.5
114
#33
67.76.2
57.150.9
Auto4.5
Teleop36.3
End26.9
Second
3021
#16
64.01.6
60.061.6
Auto7.8
Teleop36.7
End19.5
red by 12.4
2443
#28
51.66.2
53.847.6
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End12.7
Third
6553
#32
57.22.3
41.643.9
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End20.4
red by 9.4
2489
#29
47.86.2
49.543.3
Auto5.2
Teleop30.2
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed