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Red527
1011112.7
69684.8
254155.8
Blue461
1323122.9
3309117.4
502699.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4193790100200300500600700800527461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
155.81.3
154.5155.8
Auto28.7
Teleop72.7
End54.5
red by 32.9
122.90.0
122.8122.9
Auto24.3
Teleop54.2
End44.5
Second
1011
#14
112.71.3
111.4112.7
Auto11.7
Teleop54.7
End46.3
blue by 4.7
3309
#11
117.40.0
117.4117.4
Auto24.4
Teleop52.3
End40.7
Third
696
#36
84.81.3
83.584.8
Auto16.8
Teleop41.7
End26.3
blue by 14.9
5026
#23
99.70.0
99.799.7
Auto11.8
Teleop49.8
End38.1