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Red220
167192.9
510496.0
641873.5
Blue156
69684.8
153894.6
84168.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222790100200400500600220156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#21
96.07.0
107.3100.2
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End44.1
red by 1.4
1538
#16
94.67.6
118.1110.4
Auto17.1
Teleop45.8
End31.8
Second
1671
#18
92.97.0
105.398.3
Auto7.7
Teleop43.6
End41.6
red by 8.1
696
#36
84.87.6
89.181.5
Auto16.8
Teleop41.7
End26.3
Third
6418
#32
73.57.0
87.980.9
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End26.4
red by 5.4
841
#35
68.07.6
63.255.6
Auto4.7
Teleop36.3
End27.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
20%Rotor oddsMissed11%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed