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Red180
70190.0
3647107.4
167192.9
Blue345
1700102.3
60496.7
84168.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222530100200400500600180345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#10
107.47.8
101.493.5
Auto10.4
Teleop54.8
End42.1
red by 5.1
102.36.4
93.099.4
Auto13.6
Teleop46.3
End42.4
Second
1671
#18
92.97.8
98.390.5
Auto7.7
Teleop43.6
End41.6
blue by 3.8
604
#29
96.76.4
100.5106.9
Auto11.1
Teleop50.2
End35.5
Third
701
#28
90.07.8
97.689.8
Auto9.2
Teleop41.3
End39.5
red by 22.0
841
#35
68.06.4
55.662.0
Auto4.7
Teleop36.3
End27.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
27%Rotor oddsMissed10%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed2%Pressure oddsMissed