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Red285
66875.6
3647107.4
641873.5
Blue365
1678126.7
5499105.1
19984.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723320100200300400500285365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#10
107.41.3
93.594.8
Auto10.4
Teleop54.8
End42.1
blue by 19.3
126.73.8
135.0138.8
Auto26.1
Teleop54.0
End46.6
Second
668
#38
75.61.3
91.893.1
Auto10.1
Teleop30.3
End35.3
blue by 29.4
105.13.8
97.1100.9
Auto15.4
Teleop49.9
End39.8
Third
6418
#32
73.51.3
80.782.0
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End26.4
blue by 10.7
199
#30
84.23.8
75.879.6
Auto11.0
Teleop34.1
End39.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
3%Pressure oddsMissed65%Pressure oddsEarned