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Red171
207382.4
186882.8
64999.5
Blue267
1700102.3
39991.6
153894.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311309200250350400171267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#12
99.59.9
99.489.5
Auto11.8
Teleop46.8
End40.8
blue by 2.9
102.33.6
99.495.8
Auto13.6
Teleop46.3
End42.4
Second
1868
#25
82.89.9
94.484.6
Auto11.5
Teleop33.1
End38.1
blue by 11.8
1538
#16
94.63.6
102.398.7
Auto17.1
Teleop45.8
End31.8
Third
2073
#33
82.49.9
100.090.2
Auto14.6
Teleop39.2
End28.6
blue by 9.2
399
#22
91.63.6
94.190.5
Auto5.1
Teleop44.0
End42.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
7%Rotor oddsMissed35%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed