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Red370
1700102.3
115114.6
213594.4
Blue294
1678126.7
510496.0
499096.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3023530100200400500600370294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#2
114.63.4
98.3101.8
Auto13.7
Teleop58.6
End42.3
blue by 12.1
126.72.3
137.0134.7
Auto26.1
Teleop54.0
End46.6
Second
102.33.4
99.1102.5
Auto13.6
Teleop46.3
End42.4
red by 5.9
4990
#26
96.42.3
95.693.3
Auto6.6
Teleop45.1
End44.7
Third
2135
#17
94.43.4
96.099.4
Auto7.3
Teleop39.9
End47.3
blue by 1.5
5104
#21
96.02.3
96.393.9
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End44.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
22%Rotor oddsEarned6%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed67%Pressure oddsMissed