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Red302
1700102.3
5499105.1
971108.4
Blue298
153894.6
213594.4
392575.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3452850100200400500600302298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#15
108.41.5
113.7112.1
Auto22.0
Teleop49.5
End36.9
red by 13.7
1538
#16
94.62.4
98.996.5
Auto17.1
Teleop45.8
End31.8
Second
105.11.5
104.1102.5
Auto15.4
Teleop49.9
End39.8
red by 10.6
2135
#17
94.42.4
99.497.0
Auto7.3
Teleop39.9
End47.3
Third
102.31.5
102.5101.0
Auto13.6
Teleop46.3
End42.4
red by 27.0
3925
#39
75.32.4
80.177.7
Auto6.4
Teleop43.5
End25.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
34%Rotor oddsMissed19%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
47%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed