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Red305
510496.0
39991.6
84695.5
Blue370
8102.5
3309117.4
3647107.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287320100200400500305370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#21
96.01.8
93.995.8
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End44.1
blue by 21.4
3309
#11
117.43.0
112.4115.4
Auto24.4
Teleop52.3
End40.7
Second
846
#19
95.51.8
92.794.5
Auto12.5
Teleop42.7
End40.3
blue by 11.9
3647
#10
107.43.0
96.099.0
Auto10.4
Teleop54.8
End42.1
Third
399
#22
91.61.8
90.792.6
Auto5.1
Teleop44.0
End42.5
blue by 10.9
8
#9
102.53.0
91.594.5
Auto9.6
Teleop52.5
End40.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed38%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed41%Pressure oddsMissed