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Red148
385975.9
60496.7
207382.4
Blue230
5499105.1
581897.0
641873.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32730702004006008001,0001,200148230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#29
96.710.7
118.8108.2
Auto11.1
Teleop50.2
End35.5
blue by 8.4
105.14.3
103.899.6
Auto15.4
Teleop49.9
End39.8
Second
2073
#33
82.410.7
112.4101.7
Auto14.6
Teleop39.2
End28.6
blue by 14.6
5818
#20
97.04.3
98.093.8
Auto12.8
Teleop43.3
End40.8
Third
3859
#27
75.910.7
76.766.1
Auto9.4
Teleop34.8
End31.6
red by 2.4
6418
#32
73.54.3
92.287.9
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End26.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsMissed17%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed3%Pressure oddsMissed