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Red348
1678126.7
115114.6
186882.8
Blue278
70190.0
5499105.1
3309117.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3383130100200400500600700800348278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126.72.0
132.4134.4
Auto26.1
Teleop54.0
End46.6
red by 9.3
3309
#11
117.41.5
115.4113.9
Auto24.4
Teleop52.3
End40.7
Second
115
#2
114.62.0
102.1104.1
Auto13.7
Teleop58.6
End42.3
red by 9.5
105.11.5
102.5101.0
Auto15.4
Teleop49.9
End39.8
Third
1868
#25
82.82.0
83.385.3
Auto11.5
Teleop33.1
End38.1
blue by 7.2
701
#28
90.01.5
82.881.3
Auto9.2
Teleop41.3
End39.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor oddsEarned11%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
58%Pressure oddsEarned62%Pressure oddsEarned