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Red297
84695.5
581897.0
3309117.4
Blue350
167192.9
499096.4
3256105.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31730005001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,500297350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#11
117.40.2
113.9113.8
Auto24.4
Teleop52.3
End40.7
red by 12.2
3256
#13
105.22.5
102.7105.2
Auto14.3
Teleop48.1
End42.8
Second
5818
#20
97.00.2
93.593.3
Auto12.8
Teleop43.3
End40.8
red by 0.6
4990
#26
96.42.5
93.696.1
Auto6.6
Teleop45.1
End44.7
Third
846
#19
95.50.2
92.191.9
Auto12.5
Teleop42.7
End40.3
red by 2.6
1671
#18
92.92.5
91.393.8
Auto7.7
Teleop43.6
End41.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed14%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
28%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed