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Red305
39991.6
5499105.1
186882.8
Blue205
510496.0
502699.7
19984.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290293220240260280300320305205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.11.6
101.0102.6
Auto15.4
Teleop49.9
End39.8
red by 5.3
5026
#23
99.74.9
98.693.7
Auto11.8
Teleop49.8
End38.1
Second
399
#22
91.61.6
90.191.6
Auto5.1
Teleop44.0
End42.5
blue by 4.4
5104
#21
96.04.9
94.689.8
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End44.1
Third
1868
#25
82.81.6
85.386.9
Auto11.5
Teleop33.1
End38.1
blue by 1.4
199
#30
84.24.9
85.180.2
Auto11.0
Teleop34.1
End39.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
3%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed