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Red416
973138.6
19984.2
84695.5
Blue349
1700102.3
64999.5
1323122.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319324250300350400416349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
138.64.0
134.1138.1
Auto35.0
Teleop62.4
End41.2
red by 15.7
122.92.9
112.4115.3
Auto24.3
Teleop54.2
End44.5
Second
846
#19
95.54.0
91.995.9
Auto12.5
Teleop42.7
End40.3
blue by 6.8
102.32.9
100.7103.7
Auto13.6
Teleop46.3
End42.4
Third
199
#30
84.24.0
80.284.2
Auto11.0
Teleop34.1
End39.1
blue by 15.3
649
#12
99.52.9
91.894.7
Auto11.8
Teleop46.8
End40.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed12%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
30%Pressure oddsEarned9%Pressure oddsEarned