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Red345
502699.7
70190.0
64999.5
Blue399
510496.0
3647107.4
1323122.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282328100200400500345399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#23
99.74.8
93.798.4
Auto11.8
Teleop49.8
End38.1
blue by 23.1
122.96.2
115.3121.6
Auto24.3
Teleop54.2
End44.5
Second
649
#12
99.54.8
94.799.5
Auto11.8
Teleop46.8
End40.8
blue by 8.0
3647
#10
107.46.2
100.7106.9
Auto10.4
Teleop54.8
End42.1
Third
701
#28
90.04.8
85.290.0
Auto9.2
Teleop41.3
End39.5
blue by 6.0
5104
#21
96.06.2
89.896.0
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End44.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsEarned14%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed18%Pressure oddsEarned