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Red104
3309117.4
96854.3
582974.8
Blue260
64999.5
11487.1
5499105.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302316150200250350400104260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#11
117.412.3
122.1109.8
Auto24.4
Teleop52.3
End40.7
red by 12.3
105.13.2
99.696.3
Auto15.4
Teleop49.9
End39.8
Second
5829
#31
74.812.3
95.883.5
Auto6.2
Teleop32.7
End35.9
blue by 24.7
649
#12
99.53.2
109.1105.9
Auto11.8
Teleop46.8
End40.8
Third
968
#40
54.312.3
70.658.3
Auto5.5
Teleop31.9
End16.9
blue by 32.8
114
#24
87.13.2
89.586.3
Auto7.5
Teleop38.2
End41.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsMissed11%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
25%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed