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Red451
44983.3
1885110.8
2363119.3
Blue255
253491.8
242194.7
463896.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345296100200400500451255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.30.7
120.6121.3
Auto13.8
Teleop50.6
End54.9
red by 22.9
4638
#35
96.30.7
97.096.3
Auto14.3
Teleop45.2
End36.8
Second
110.80.7
112.1112.9
Auto13.4
Teleop54.2
End43.2
red by 16.1
94.70.7
95.494.7
Auto11.1
Teleop44.4
End39.2
Third
449
#52
83.30.7
84.685.4
Auto10.6
Teleop38.9
End33.9
blue by 8.5
2534
#27
91.80.7
92.591.8
Auto11.4
Teleop41.6
End38.8