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Red237
1418102.8
237791.5
1731109.4
Blue375
1629107.3
1080102.5
161093.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334333240260280300320360380400237375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.41.7
112.2110.6
Auto13.8
Teleop45.4
End50.1
red by 2.2
1629
#18
107.30.7
109.0108.3
Auto13.0
Teleop55.6
End38.7
Second
1418
#29
102.81.7
105.6103.9
Auto9.3
Teleop44.6
End48.9
red by 0.2
102.50.7
104.3103.5
Auto9.5
Teleop52.1
End40.9
Third
91.51.7
94.392.7
Auto12.7
Teleop44.9
End34.0
blue by 1.5
1610
#41
93.00.7
94.894.0
Auto10.8
Teleop41.0
End41.3