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Red210
61264.7
527985.7
623101.3
Blue252
4242103.2
1080102.5
253491.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2162980100400500600210252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#37
101.30.4
86.986.5
Auto14.9
Teleop46.1
End40.3
blue by 1.9
4242
#13
103.21.4
93.692.2
Auto10.3
Teleop45.7
End47.2
Second
5279
#20
85.70.4
77.877.4
Auto11.7
Teleop39.0
End35.0
blue by 16.9
102.51.4
84.983.6
Auto9.5
Teleop52.1
End40.9
Third
612
#50
64.70.4
51.551.1
Auto8.8
Teleop25.9
End30.0
blue by 27.1
2534
#27
91.81.4
93.892.5
Auto11.4
Teleop41.6
End38.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed