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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256280100150200300350400450310235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#15
114.33.9
102.0105.9
Auto12.6
Teleop48.9
End52.7
red by 11.1
4242
#13
103.21.9
95.994.1
Auto10.3
Teleop45.7
End47.2
Second
1895
#26
92.53.9
89.092.8
Auto5.2
Teleop49.5
End37.8
blue by 0.5
1610
#41
93.01.9
91.990.0
Auto10.8
Teleop41.0
End41.3
Third
612
#50
64.73.9
55.759.6
Auto8.8
Teleop25.9
End30.0
blue by 26.3
2849
#21
91.01.9
75.473.5
Auto10.1
Teleop45.7
End35.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed