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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2792750100200400500600256421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#30
99.70.6
91.190.5
Auto10.3
Teleop47.2
End42.3
blue by 2.2
1262
#17
101.95.6
103.4109.0
Auto9.4
Teleop44.8
End47.8
Second
5945
#44
91.10.6
95.194.5
Auto9.4
Teleop37.4
End44.3
blue by 3.6
94.75.6
80.586.1
Auto11.1
Teleop44.4
End39.2
Third
1123
#34
85.60.6
78.778.1
Auto7.3
Teleop41.2
End37.2
blue by 5.3
2849
#21
91.05.6
78.183.7
Auto10.1
Teleop45.7
End35.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed