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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271284150200250350400450500205255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.23.6
93.489.8
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End34.8
blue by 2.4
5587
#22
100.60.9
96.495.5
Auto12.1
Teleop45.5
End42.9
Second
4514
#46
83.73.6
82.779.1
Auto10.4
Teleop35.2
End38.2
blue by 7.8
91.50.9
90.789.8
Auto12.7
Teleop44.9
End34.0
Third
1086
#57
80.73.6
82.879.2
Auto10.4
Teleop39.7
End30.5
blue by 5.0
5279
#20
85.70.9
80.980.1
Auto11.7
Teleop39.0
End35.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed