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Red256
62099.7
623101.3
337366.8
Blue297
511591.3
5338106.9
346106.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268318150200350400450500256297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#37
101.30.3
99.399.0
Auto14.9
Teleop46.1
End40.3
blue by 5.6
5338
#36
106.90.2
105.2105.0
Auto12.7
Teleop46.6
End47.6
Second
620
#30
99.70.3
90.590.1
Auto10.3
Teleop47.2
End42.3
blue by 6.4
346
#11
106.10.2
103.0102.7
Auto9.8
Teleop50.1
End46.2
Third
3373
#54
66.80.3
71.270.9
Auto6.5
Teleop31.3
End29.1
blue by 24.5
5115
#48
91.30.2
87.286.9
Auto10.2
Teleop33.5
End47.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed