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Red295
6334102.9
1629107.3
527985.7
Blue288
1389105.5
42283.3
242194.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29527102004006008001,0001,2001,400295288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#18
107.31.2
106.8108.0
Auto13.0
Teleop55.6
End38.7
red by 1.8
1389
#28
105.51.8
97.098.8
Auto6.7
Teleop46.2
End52.6
Second
102.91.2
89.991.1
Auto9.1
Teleop53.0
End40.9
red by 8.2
94.71.8
86.187.9
Auto11.1
Teleop44.4
End39.2
Third
5279
#20
85.71.2
80.181.3
Auto11.7
Teleop39.0
End35.0
red by 2.4
422
#55
83.31.8
77.479.3
Auto8.9
Teleop32.5
End41.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed