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Red261
253491.8
346106.1
445694.9
Blue310
1598102.1
1885110.8
1262101.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293361100200400500600261310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#11
106.11.7
102.7101.0
Auto9.8
Teleop50.1
End46.2
blue by 4.7
110.82.0
121.1119.2
Auto13.4
Teleop54.2
End43.2
Second
4456
#12
94.91.7
95.693.9
Auto4.3
Teleop49.1
End41.5
blue by 7.1
1598
#16
102.12.0
105.0103.0
Auto12.5
Teleop37.3
End52.3
Third
2534
#27
91.81.7
88.987.1
Auto11.4
Teleop41.6
End38.8
blue by 10.1
1262
#17
101.92.0
108.1106.2
Auto9.4
Teleop44.8
End47.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed