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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288280150200250350400450345281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.24.8
95.3100.1
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End34.8
blue by 4.0
619
#40
102.30.9
101.9102.8
Auto9.0
Teleop42.5
End50.8
Second
2964
#14
97.14.8
89.694.4
Auto9.8
Teleop38.4
End48.8
red by 5.8
5115
#48
91.30.9
88.088.9
Auto10.2
Teleop33.5
End47.6
Third
94.74.8
87.992.7
Auto11.1
Teleop44.4
End39.2
red by 11.9
401
#45
82.80.9
77.678.5
Auto8.3
Teleop34.3
End40.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed