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Red325
445694.9
379398.2
111199.3
Blue449
2363119.3
1885110.8
44983.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317346200250300400450500325449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#23
99.31.6
100.999.3
Auto11.7
Teleop50.1
End37.5
blue by 20.0
119.30.6
121.9122.5
Auto13.8
Teleop50.6
End54.9
Second
98.21.6
99.998.2
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End34.8
blue by 12.6
110.80.6
113.5114.1
Auto13.4
Teleop54.2
End43.2
Third
4456
#12
94.91.6
96.694.9
Auto4.3
Teleop49.1
End41.5
red by 11.6
449
#52
83.30.6
86.086.6
Auto10.6
Teleop38.9
End33.9