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Red396
527985.7
384122.5
6334102.9
Blue205
1629107.3
1080102.5
161093.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370331200300400500600396205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#2
122.50.3
122.2121.9
Auto14.9
Teleop62.2
End45.4
red by 15.2
1629
#18
107.32.3
109.6107.3
Auto13.0
Teleop55.6
End38.7
Second
102.90.3
102.7102.4
Auto9.1
Teleop53.0
End40.9
red by 0.4
102.52.3
104.9102.5
Auto9.5
Teleop52.1
End40.9
Third
5279
#20
85.70.3
85.485.1
Auto11.7
Teleop39.0
End35.0
blue by 7.4
1610
#41
93.02.3
95.493.0
Auto10.8
Teleop41.0
End41.3