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Red533
371997.5
1986167.1
3310137.7
Blue415
2056151.6
384104.4
1241123.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517507300400600700533415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
Unranked
167.10.1
168.6168.7
Auto43.3
Teleop64.6
End59.2
red by 15.5
2056
Unranked
151.61.5
153.1151.6
Auto33.4
Teleop70.3
End47.9
Second
3310
Unranked
137.70.1
139.2139.3
Auto24.5
Teleop60.6
End52.6
red by 14.4
1241
Unranked
123.31.5
124.9123.4
Auto14.5
Teleop57.6
End51.2
Third
3719
Unranked
97.50.1
98.999.1
Auto8.1
Teleop54.7
End34.6
blue by 6.9
384
Unranked
104.41.5
105.9104.4
Auto11.7
Teleop54.6
End38.0