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Red469
4188108.0
118146.4
1678146.1
Blue495
1011110.8
973141.8
2928100.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46139402006008001,0001,200469495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
146.40.7
147.2146.4
Auto31.4
Teleop68.5
End46.5
red by 4.6
973
Unranked
141.81.3
143.1141.8
Auto29.6
Teleop60.3
End52.0
Second
1678
Unranked
146.10.7
146.8146.1
Auto28.5
Teleop63.4
End54.1
red by 35.2
1011
Unranked
110.81.3
112.1110.8
Auto12.2
Teleop58.7
End39.9
Third
4188
Unranked
108.00.7
108.7108.0
Auto9.0
Teleop53.8
End45.1
red by 7.4
2928
Unranked
100.61.3
101.8100.6
Auto12.2
Teleop48.6
End39.8