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Red475
1011110.8
5499103.1
973141.8
Blue445
2848119.0
290380.2
604118.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398382300350450500475445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
Unranked
141.80.5
140.1140.6
Auto29.6
Teleop60.3
End52.0
red by 22.8
2848
Unranked
119.00.7
117.1117.8
Auto14.6
Teleop57.2
End47.2
Second
1011
Unranked
110.80.5
109.1109.6
Auto12.2
Teleop58.7
End39.9
blue by 8.0
604
Unranked
118.80.7
116.9117.6
Auto10.6
Teleop56.9
End51.3
Third
5499
Unranked
103.10.5
102.3102.9
Auto12.3
Teleop55.2
End35.5
red by 22.8
2903
Unranked
80.20.7
78.379.0
Auto6.6
Teleop47.0
End26.7