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Red215
455083.1
179945.2
294548.8
Blue245
141070.8
429381.4
15978.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321790100300400500215245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#14
83.16.1
60.766.8
Auto11.6
Teleop35.9
End35.6
red by 1.7
81.41.8
55.156.9
Auto10.2
Teleop39.1
End32.1
Second
2945
#20
48.89.2
35.544.7
Auto4.2
Teleop27.9
End16.7
blue by 30.1
159
#7
78.81.8
54.656.4
Auto6.2
Teleop30.4
End42.1
Third
1799
#46
45.29.2
36.045.2
Auto8.5
Teleop28.2
End8.5
blue by 25.6
1410
#34
70.81.8
53.855.5
Auto9.2
Teleop34.1
End27.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed